Journal of Structural and Construction Engineering

Journal of Structural and Construction Engineering

Risk identification in the Persian Gulf water transfer project using the AHP method (a case study of the second part of the Persian Gulf water transfer project)

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Master Student, Department of Civil Engineering, Islamic Azad University of Anar, Anar, Iran
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Islamic Azad University of Anar, Anar, Iran
Abstract
In Iran, water resources have been exploited irregular and unstable for several decades. In the meantime, the use of unconventional water resources as a promising option to mitigating the quantitative and qualitative stresses on common water resources at the global level is important. Among these, desalination of sea water and its transfer to designated destinations is very important. The purpose of this research is to identify and assess risk in the Persian Gulf water transfer project. In this research, risk identification was done through interviews with 16 experts by analytical hierarchy process (AHP) for different sections in the employer, consultant and contractor and the weight of each was determined by the hierarchical analysis process. By Study in the fields of employer, consultant and contractor, the first priority in the employer's department is the lack of experience and expertise of human resources, in the consultant's section, the low accuracy of executive plans and inattention to details, in the contractor's section, late allocation of financial resources. Today, this principle is accepted that human activities should be in throw in sustainable development and the realization of its goals. This principle also includes risk management in this project. risk management, more than other activities should be considered and it is necessary to be more precise in these cases.
Keywords

Subjects


[1] Hatefi, M., Heidari, A., (2017). Evalating Construction Projects Based and the Risk Factory by Using an Integrated Fuzzy AHP and Fuzzy VIKOR Model. Scientific-researche Journal Of Structural and Construction engineering,5, 156-157.
[2] Khazaeni, G., Khanzadi, M., Afshar, A. (2012). Optimum risk allocation model for construction contracts: fuzzy TOPSIS approach. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 39(7), 789-800.
[3] KarimiAzari, A., Mousavi, N., Mousavi, S.F., Hosseini, S. (2011). Risk assessment model selection in construction industry. Expert Systems with Applications, 38 (8), 9105-9111.
[4] SOUTH, D. I. (2012). Economic considerations for supplying water through desalination in south mediterranean countries.
[5] Bernat, X., Gib­ert, O., Gu­iu, R, Tobella, J., & Campos, C. (2010). The economics of desalination for various uses. Re-thinking water and food security, 329.
[6] Proag, D. (2021) Infrastructure and Economic Growth, in: Infrastructure Planning and Management: An Integrated
Approach, Springer, pp. 33-59.
[7] Khaksar, M.,Shafei,A.,(2008). Identifying the sources of risk in construction projects, Beyond Management magazine, Iran, 139-160.
[8] Yao-Chen, Kuo; & Shih-Tong, Lu (2013).Using fuzzy multiple criteria decision making approach to enhance risk assessment for metropolitan construction projects, International Journal of Project Management, 31(4), 602- 614.doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2012.10.003.
[9] Gulabchi,M., Strategic Management, Tehran University Press, Tehran, Iran.
[10] Wang, Y. (2013). Construction Project Risk Assessment. In: Xu J, Yasinzai M, Lev B (eds) Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management: Focused on Electrical and Information Technology. Springer London, London, pp 839-844.
[11] Project Management Institute, (2004). A guide to the project management body of knowledge (PMBOK guide). Newtown Square, Pa: Project Management Institute.
[12] Flanagan, R., Norman, G. , (1993). Risk Management and Construction. Victoria: Blackwell, Science Pty Ltd, Australia.
[13] Aminbakhsh, S., Gunduz, M., Sonmez, R. (2013), Safety risk assessment using analytic hierarchy process (AHP) during planning and budgeting of construction projects. Journal of Safety Research, 46, 99-105.
[14] Winch, G. (2002). Managing Construction Projects: An Information Processing Approach. Wiley.
[15] Tah, J.H.M., Carr, V. (2000). A proposal for construction project risk assessment using fuzzy logic. Construction Management and Economics, 18 (4), 491-500.
[16] Nieto-Morote ,A., Ruz-Vila, F. (2011). A fuzzy approach to construction project risk assessment. International Journal of Project Management, 29(2), 220-231.
[17] Samantra, C., Datta, S., Mahapatra, S.S. (2017). Fuzzy based risk assessment module for metropolitan construction project: An empirical study. Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, In press, Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2017.04.019.
[18] Yazdani-Chamzini, A. (2014). Proposing a new methodology based on fuzzy logic for tunnelling risk assessment. Journal of Civil Engineering and Management, 20(1), 82-94.
[19] El-Sayegh, S.M., Mansour, M.H. (2015). Risk Assessment and Allocation in Highway Construction Projects in the UAE. Journal of Management in Engineering, 31(6), 15-22.
[20] Taylan, O., Bafail, A. O., Abdulaal, R.M.S., Kabli, M.R., (2014), Construction projects selection and risk assessment by fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS methodologies. Applied Soft Computing, 17, 105–116.
[21] Wang, T., Wang, S., Zhang, L., Huang, Z., Li, Y. (2016). A major infrastructure risk-assessment framework: Application to a cross-sea route project in China. International Journal of Project Management 34(7): 1403-1415.
[22] Islam, M. S., M. P. Nepal, M. Skitmore and M. Attarzadeh (2017). "Current research trends and application areas of fuzzy and hybrid methods to the risk assessment of construction projects. Advanced Engineering Informatics, 33, 112-131.
[23] Chau Ngoc, D., Long, L.H., Soo-Yong, K., Chau Van, N., Young-Dai, L., Sun-Ho, L. (2017). Identification of risk patterns in Vietnamese road and bridge construction: Contractor’s perspective. Built Environment Project and Asset Management, 7(1), 59-72.
[24] Leung, L., Lam, K., Cao, D. (2006). Implementing the balanced scorecard using the analytic hierarchy process the analytic network process. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 57(6), 682–691.
[25] Tesfamariam, S., Sadiq, R., (2006). Risk-based environmental decision-making using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (F-AHP), Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 21, 35–50.
[26] Wu, H. Y., Tzeng, G. H., Chen, Y. H. (2009). A fuzzy MCDM approach for evaluating banking performance based on Balanced Scorecard, Expert Systems with Applications, 36, 10135–10147.
 [27] Alad Posh,M.(1998). Project management culture, project sponsor publications.

  • Receive Date 26 April 2023
  • Revise Date 09 July 2023
  • Accept Date 22 July 2023